Friday, November 13, 2015

Inching Forward Little By Little

Polls

It seems as though Bernie Sanders is still left in the dust of Clinton's massive takeoff. Though, his polls have increased slowly since he first began in the month of November with an average RCP poll of 27% but has now inched forward 6% to today's poll, where he stands at 33%. Which is 19% less than Clinton's staggering 52%.

The New York Times and CBS News released a series of polls demonstrating democrat's opinion on both Hilary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. According to their polls 62% of the democratic primary voters believe that Clinton would make a real change in Washington while 51% say that Sanders would do so. They also have another poll stating that 24% of these democratic voters believe that Hilary Clinton would be more likely to get her policies enacted as president, 57% say she is somewhat likely, while 17% say that she is not very likely to get such policies enacted. Whereas, 8% think that Sanders would be more likely to get his policies going, 63% say that he is somewhat likely, and 24% say he is not likely to do so. As mentioned in an earlier post, many people are unhappy with the way that the government is working, and they want to see changes. Which, according to the statistics, more people feel as though it is possible with Hilary Clinton. Even though Sanders has a higher percentage of people who believe he could probably get his policies enacted, Clinton has the upper hand when it comes to confident followers. In fact, she has the upper hand in most of the polls released by CBS News and The New York Times. Thus, explaining why she leading Sanders.

Nevertheless, The New York Times states that Bernie Sanders may have more room to grow as long as he could find a way to win over the 50% of democratic voters who feel as though it is too early to tell who to fully support in this election.

New Positions

As of today Sanders does not seem to have any significant new positions.

Challenges

According to The New York Times' article Bernie Sanders needs to find way to make his left wing approach into one with a broad appeal that is more acceptable for the democratic majority. He will have to find a way to do this during the upcoming debate on Saturday night.

Sources

RCP Average: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html

CBS News/The New York Times Poll: http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-hillary-clinton-bests-sanders-as-the-democrats-change-candidate/

Challenge/polls: http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/11/12/poll-shows-hillary-clinton-maintaining-lead-over-sanders/

7 comments:

  1. I agree with the New York Times when they stated that Sanders has room to grow. He still has quite a bit of time to win over votes and rise in the polls. Even though he is 19% behind Clinton he still has a lot of voters minds that he can change because many voters are still unsure who to vote for. I believe he is a strong candidate and has a lot of power which he can generate to win more votes.

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  2. I find it very surprising that more people think Hilary would make a real change in Washington than Sanders. Hilary's policies sound like a corporatist largely trying to maintain the status quo, while Sanders seems all about changing the system.

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  3. Clinton has been dominating the Democratic polls. I agree with the NY Times in that Sanders has some room to grow in support, but will it be enough? If Bernie wants to compete as a front-runner in the Democratic primaries, he's going to have to make some big moves in order to catch up with Hillary Clinton.

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  4. At this point everyone I knew who supported Hilary, now support Sanders. He really appeals to millennials more and knows what we want. Hoping to see him lead.

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  5. Bernie Sanders seems to be doing pretty well in campaign and although Clinton is still in the lead, he can steal the lead eventually. With his committed supporters and as a strong candidate he can rise in the polls. He seems to only be growing so it would be no surprise if he ends up taking lead.

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  6. It seems to me that Sanders steady rise in popularity could possibly overtake Clinton eventually, despite her huge lead currently

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